Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.525310 4.169419 4.925647 5.886375 7.084802 8.544173 10.476910
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.547300 3.318526 4.340157 5.821899 7.966362 11.039263 15.933061
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.100897 2.908392 4.064074 5.894881 8.832663 13.571951 22.272574
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.796455 2.605452 3.834998 5.925113 9.576824 16.095742 29.687879
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.622498 2.451915 3.782046 6.193798 10.758230 19.748790 41.078558
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.419774 2.213530 3.539952 6.069346 11.172789 22.073895 50.968358
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.277910 2.050179 3.390787 6.071439 11.822914 25.130486 64.643724
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.148784 1.888327 3.214632 5.978246 12.239196 27.815115 79.280445
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.069414 1.802269 3.161643 6.119388 13.221451 32.351427 103.740658
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.971958 1.670041 2.999463 5.992790 13.524855 35.186525 124.898289
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.943236 1.662274 3.079950 6.421397 15.382353 43.619427 179.710478
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.902203 1.625010 3.093651 6.697382 16.930078 52.012678 247.886214
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.856970 1.584505 3.117594 7.070243 19.128194 65.240217 380.226554
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.780951 1.473668 2.975660 7.003577 20.028409 74.619999 521.162794
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.725912 1.398455 2.899910 7.094071 21.518071 88.328040 762.021345
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.674729 1.324313 2.813422 7.132000 22.865934 103.136172 1108.398990
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.645084 1.293450 2.825836 7.468985 25.590707 129.760365 1873.276103
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.594774 1.209267 2.690937 7.312804 26.210163 144.274654 2604.999466
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.557214 1.150050 2.610888 7.315429 27.574375 166.837660 3974.512500
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.518708 1.084134 2.503145 7.198577 28.344129 186.588253 5807.162311
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.495325 1.051749 2.480761 7.375585 30.736117 226.594289 10453.915019
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.462083 0.991619 2.372890 7.216807 31.280829 250.069078 15734.210063
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.454765 0.994936 2.444656 7.755020 36.211199 339.469641 42907.175693